In Blue is Darfur, widely covered by a series of A list advocates. Less understood is in Green, South Sudan, our newest nation and a recent hotspot of violence, displacement and human misery. This is an exercise to gather resources on some of the fundamentals driving the conflict.
Context:
2011 - national independence
Capital Juba
2011 - national independence
Capital Juba
11 million South Sudanese
Ethnically the dinka and nuer predominate
Ethnically the dinka and nuer predominate
World's newest country
The East is oil country
"Recent Unpleasantness" A Power struggle between these big 2 is a proxy for ethnic tension and unfinished business in the divorce
1 Pres salva kiir , a dinka ( left, slick hat)
2 Riek machar, a nuer, Former VP
1 Pres salva kiir , a dinka ( left, slick hat)
2 Riek machar, a nuer, Former VP
Past:
22 years of Sudanese civil war yields two distinct sovereignties by 2011
Finalizing the divorce involves some awkward conversations about who will keep the kids...
Present:
"What started as an 'attempted coup' allegedly targeting pres Kiir...has mutated into something that threatens the whole country... The army admits it has lost control of Bor, the capital of Jonglei state, to forces apparently led by General Peter Gadet. Perhaps worse still the fighting is already exacerbating ethic tensions in what is an ethnically divided country. The initial trigger for the violence was political - the ambitions of people like former VP Riek Machar and the determination of President Kiir to hold on to power."
-120,000 IDP
http://reliefweb.int/map/south-sudan-republic/south-sudan-crisis-humanitarian-snapshot-25-december-2013
http://reliefweb.int/map/south-sudan-republic/south-sudan-crisis-humanitarian-snapshot-25-december-2013
-UN sheltering >30K IDP in five state capitals, Juba (capital) and Bor
UN looking at additional peacekeepers, recent India sustained peacekeeper KIAs from small arms fire while protecting UN compound with ethnic refugees hiding from a rival mob
"Soldiers of the East Africa Response Force, a Djibouti-based joint team, prepare to support evacuation operations in Juba, South Sudan. At the request of the US Department of State, the US Defense Department directed two US C-130 aircraft to evacuate personnel from Juba, the capital of South Sudan, Nairobi, Kenya. DoD also augmented physical security at American diplomatic facilities in Juba with members of the EARF." US AFRICOM
Future:
New Approaches to peacekeeping during state formation?
Stakeholders (interest):
ethiopia/kenya (regional stability)
China (oil interests)
USA (new nation stability)
Military Units Engaged (affiliation)
7000 strong UN Peacekeeping force (UNMISS)
South Sudan Army (Kiir)
Presidential Guard Units (split)
Organized Militia Networks (Situational Factionalism)
Civilian Militia (ethnically aligned)
President Kiir
Been in current office since state formation in 2011, previously the primary VP of Sudan
Developing Ties to China (With Hu Jintao)
Riek Machar
Was a Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM) commander and led a breakaway faction for some years in the 1990s
After 2005 peace deal appointed vice-president of interim government, retaining the post after independence in 2011 until his dismissal in July 2013 http://www.bbc.co. uk/news/world-africa-25402865
National Economic Interests:
Oil
Regional pipeline transit agreements
Mapping the Conflict in terms of...
Video Summary
Reports/sourcing:
http://reliefweb.int/country/ssd/thumb#content
http://reliefweb.int/country/ssd
http://reliefweb.int/country/ssd
the best analysis of the South Sudanese political landscape ive seen by a smart regional analyst James Copnall --http://www.bbc.co.uk/ news/world-africa-25454168
James Copnall's twitter handle https://mobile.twitter. com/JamesCopnall








.jpg)


No comments:
Post a Comment